Wednesday, October 25, 2017

NOT 2 GREEN | Well, there it is !

According to the literature we reviewed and many experts we interviewed, methods used to estimate the potential economic effects of climate change in the United States, and the national - scale methods that use the methods, produce imprecise estimates of economic effects because of data and modeling limitations associated with ( 1 ) climate modeling uncertainty; ( 2 ) limited information on which to base models for specific economic sectors; ( 3 ) incomplete coverage of sectors, interactions among sectors, and climate change impacts; and ( 4 ) challenges of modeling over long time frames.

They can’t forecast the GDP out to the end of the century within 0.7 - 2.4%… But they can accurately forecast a loss of “ 0.7 to 2.4 percent of the U.S. gross domestic product per year by the end of this century ” based on a cascade of complex models which produce imprecise results, with the uncertainty increasing over time … .

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